The year-to-year increase in homicides from 2019 was the largest since national record-keeping began in 1960. But overall, major crimes declined last year.
The United States experienced its biggest one-year increase on record in homicides in 2020, according to new figures released on Monday by the F.B.I., with some cities hitting record highs.
Although major crimes were down overall, there were an additional 4,901 homicides in 2020 compared with the year before, the largest leap since national records started in 1960. The significant rise has roughly coincided with the 18 months of the Covid-19 pandemic.
The higher murder rate has continued into 2021, although the pace has slowed as the year has progressed.
Overall, the toll of some 21,500 people killed last year is still well below the record set during the violence of the early 1990s. Still, several cities, like Albuquerque, Des Moines, Indianapolis, Memphis, Milwaukee and Syracuse, recorded their highest homicide numbers ever, according to the report.
There is no simple explanation for the steep rise. A number of key factors are driving the violence, including the economic and social toll taken by the pandemic and a sharp increase in gun purchases.
“It is a perfect storm,” said Chief Harold Medina of the Albuquerque Police Department. He cited Covid-19, the fallout from social justice protests and other contributors. “There is not just one factor that we can point at to say why we are where we are,” he said.
The report from the F.B.I., which tabulates crime numbers reported by almost 16,000 law enforcement agencies, also showed that killings were more widespread, occurring in all regions of the United States and not limited to major cities.
About 77 percent of reported homicides in 2020 were committed with a firearm, the highest share ever reported, up from 67 percent a decade ago, said Jeff Asher, a crime analyst based in New Orleans. Gun sales spiked during the pandemic, although experts noted that it often takes years for legal gun sales to filter into the illegal market for guns that plague cities like Chicago. Nonfatal shootings spiked as well.
The wider geographic distribution of killings differs from past decades, Mr. Asher said. In 1990, New York City and Los Angeles accounted for 13.8 percent of the country’s homicides, compared with 3.8 percent in 2020, he said.
Homicides this year have risen about 10 percent from 2020 in 87 cities whose current numbers are available, Mr. Asher said. The F.B.I. reports every September on statistics from the previous year, and 2021 figures are not yet fully available.
The pandemic undoubtedly played a significant role, causing economic and mental stress, forcing people together for longer periods and creating a climate of uncertainty and unease. Millions of Americans lost their jobs, businesses and, in some cases, their housing because of the pandemic. The widespread sense of desperation helped fuel social friction and crime. Many Americans also experienced the trauma of losing loved ones from Covid-19.
“People are desperate and they don’t have a lot of options, so they turn toward violence as a way to solve things,” said Enrique Cardiel, a community organizer and public health worker in the neighborhood with the most killings in Albuquerque.
At the same time, police departments sometimes struggled with the number of officers available because of quarantines during the pandemic, which curbed public services like mental health counseling and aggravated related problems like homelessness.
“This is a country where everybody is suffering a little post-Covid traumatic syndrome, and not knowing what is going to happen,” said Peter N. Winograd, a professor emeritus at the University of New Mexico who works as a consultant for the Albuquerque Police Department. “That is huge.”
The report also breaks down last year’s homicide victims by race, ethnicity and sex, although not all law enforcement agencies provided such data. Of the people killed in 2020, at least 9,913 were Black, 7,029 were white, 497 were from other races and 315 were of unknown race. There were at least 14,146 men killed and 3,573 women.
While various medium-size cities were rocked by a record number of homicides, certain major cities, while still enduring high murder rates, were well down from their worst years.
New York City recorded about 500 homicides in 2020, compared with 319 in 2019, but both figures were far below the city’s worst year, 1990, when there were more than 2,200. Chicago had 771 homicides last year, compared with about 500 in 2019 and 939 in 1992, one of the city’s most violent years. There were 351 homicides last year in Los Angeles, versus 258 in 2019; its record is 1,010 in 1980.
In Des Moines, where the F.B.I. said there were a record 33 homicides in 2020, up from 14 in 2019, Mayor Frank Cownie said the city faced similar problems as the rest of the country with killings stemming from the illegal drug trade, gang-related disputes or domestic violence. He also noted that two crimes last year were particularly violent, leaving five victims dead both times. “That is a rarity in our community,” Mr. Cownie said in a statement.
The mayor said he was encouraged there had been considerably fewer homicides this year, although it was difficult to pinpoint what led to the decrease.
The protests that erupted after the police killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis were also an important factor, in 2020, although experts differ about why. Some argue that the police, under intense scrutiny and demoralized, pulled back from some aspects of crime prevention. Others put the emphasis on the public, suggesting that diminished respect for the police prompted more people to try to take the law into their own hands.
“The distrust of police, the low morale among police, the fact that the police are being less proactive because they are legitimately worried about being backed up by their superiors” were all contributing factors, Mr. Winograd said.
Law enforcement officers, like Chief Medina, also cited what they called the revolving jailhouse door created by bail reform as a factor driving up violence, although critics of that hypothesis noted that violent crime also increased in places where those changes have not occurred. They point to states like Tennessee, where state and local bail reform is still being debated; the F.B.I. figures for Memphis show a record 289 murders in 2020, up from 190 a year earlier.
Other factors are more constant. The combination of drugs, money and guns has long provided a fuse for violent deaths among young men.
“A lot of it really does go back to people stressed by poverty and mental health issues and by drug addiction, and resolving a lot of these disputes by firearms,” said Liz Thomson, who used to supervise homicide investigations for the Albuquerque Police Department.
Even before the pandemic, people seemed more prickly, with minor disputes escalating into violent confrontations that ended in death, law enforcement and other analysts noted. That tendency only deepened during the pandemic, they said, with perceived personal insults among the most common motivations for homicide.
There have been two killings this year in Haskell, Okla., population 2,000 — the kind of small town that rarely if ever appeared on the murder map in years past. One man was stabbed to death in an argument over money, and a young woman was shot dead in a car.
“It is not something that we typically run into,” said Chief Michael Keene of the eight-officer Haskell Police Department.
Robberies were another common reason for homicides. And while domestic violence killings dropped slightly from recent years, they were still a factor.
Late last May, the police in southwest Albuquerque were dispatched to an imitation adobe home to discover that Lee Marco Cuellar had killed his wife during an argument, strangling her with a sleeveless white T-shirt.
Mr. Cuellar, 41, an R.O.T.C. instructor at a local middle school, told the officers that after dinner with his wife — Rosalejandra Cisneros-Cuellar, 26, known as Ally — he became convinced that she was a demon who would hurt his family, so he had to kill her, according to the criminal complaint.
Murders tend to have the most devastating impact of all crimes, and to attract the most attention, but they actually constitute a small percentage of major crimes, a classification that includes rape, armed assault, robbery and car thefts.
Given that people were staying at home far more during the pandemic, some categories like burglaries dropped in 2020, the F.B.I. numbers show. Major crimes overall dropped about 5 percent. The downward trend in overall crime started for years before the pandemic.
With the homicide rate still rising in 2021, but at a slower pace, it is difficult to predict how long the current wave of violent crime might endure. Crime patterns tend to be cyclical in nature.
The data also shows that the gun violence driving much of the surge is concentrated among a relatively small number of people within communities where retaliatory shootings are more common. The pandemic curbed both the community outreach programs and the policing that helped to keep homicides and other violent crime in check.
“It is those people and places, the pandemic’s impact on those people that matters most,” said Thomas Abt, a senior fellow at the Council on Criminal Justice. “For the men who are at the highest risk of violence, living in poor communities of color, typically, they were already under pressure, they were already under strain, they were already marginalized and isolated, and the pandemic exacerbated that significantly.”
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